Saturday, December 30, 2006

Special message for spammers (and my ISP)


To all of the spammers posting on my blog: thanks for all of the offers. I really want to make lots of easy money while doing almost nothing. I need it to pay for all the easy loans that you dish out. Lucky for me I can still get cheap medicine to calm my nerves.

And to my ISP: stick your lousy cap where it belongs. Thanks to you I am unable to respond to all the lonely ladies in Russia offering love and friendship...

China Colonizing Africa?

Is China becoming Africa's new colonizer? In what is reminiscent of a new scramble for Africa, China has rushed to plant its flag on the continent, offering soft credit, bricks and mortar investment and promising non-interference in local politics. China's political clout in Africa has never been greater.

But is this all too good to be true? In November, China hosted an Africa summit in Beijing attended by 50 African leaders, the biggest showcase of China's new foreign policy shift towards the developing world, to expand its political reach and to secure raw materials to feed its rapidly growing economy. Beijing offered Africa US$3bn in preferential loans and US$2bn in export credits over the next three years. China envisaged annual trade with Africa to reach $100bn by 2010. Whereas Western nations such as the US, France and UK have year-on-year slashed development aid, China promised to double aid by 2009. Most of the Chinese aid to Africa is tied to business deals. Nevertheless, China has offered aid without insisting on onerous conditions as Western donors do. This is sweet music to African nations, who for long now have protested the hypocritical insistence by Western countries that they must open their markets, while they (Western nations) heavily subsidize their own agriculture sectors and maintain prohibitively high tariff barriers. As a case in point, China early this year granted Nigeria a $2.5bn loan soft loan and the Angolan government $9bn.But China has offered many African despots, such as Zimbabwe's Robert Mugabe a lifeline. China has major investments in Sudan's oil-fields and fiercely supports the Sudanese regime which is responsible for an internal conflict that has seen millions perished and displaced. China worked effortlessly to water-down a United Nations resolution condemning the Sudan for the bloodshed in Darfur.

China accounts for 65% of all Sudanese oil exports and 35% of Angolan oil sold abroad. Again, the argument can be made that many Western nations are often quite happy to turn a blind-eye to allied undemocratic regimes, especially if there are Western oil interests to protect. Most African economies are depended one or at least a few commodities. The Chinese dragon's big appetite for commodities has given some African economies a handy windfall. However, very few Africans have used the extra cash to diversify their economies. But to prosper, African nations need to diversify their economies as soon as possible. In fact, most of these rich returns from commodities appear to be pocketed by a handful of African ruling elites. China's strategy of making friendship by targeting leading members of African ruling parties have encouraged this trend. The easy money China dangles in return for oil or other commodities could foster corruption. It is also true that China's interest in Africa has given African nations more options to negotiate better trade deals with Western competitors. In the past African countries had to accept the poor deals Western countries forced on them. In terms of global politics, many Africans do see China is potential ally in a world where African interests are either ignored or dismissed by the big powers. South African President Thabo Mbeki's says the continent has a "dire need for close friends, reliable partners and good brothers". (http://www.int.iol.co.za/index.php?set_id=1&click_id=13&art_id=qw1163161982436B251)

However, China's public rhetoric of altruism masked a hard-nosed approach - and many Africans appear not to notice this. As a case in point, China in spite of its stated aims to make the UN more representative, has opposed the initiatives to secure a permanent seat for Africa on the UN Security Council. (http://www.int.iol.co.za/index.php?set_id=1&click_id=68&art_id=vn20050805063523423C706133)

In Latin America, China similarly bestowed on Brazil favourite nation status. However, Brazilian soon discovered in spite of this their products faced huge tariff barriers in China. Furthermore, China promised to invest billions of dollars in infrastructure projects in Brazil. Predictably this was very slow to materialize. Another sticking point was that China insisted on bringing Chinese nationals as work crews, instead of transferring local skills. This is already a sore point across Africa. (http://www.int.iol.co.za/index.php?set_id=1&click_id=68&art_id=qw116124444127B251)

Many African businesses complain Chinese companies dump cheap end of line stocks, often bypassing customs and import duties. Not only does this drive locals out of business, the cheap items are often of poor quality. The influx of cheap Chinese goods to Africa decimates the struggling local manufacturing industry. In South Africa, official figures shows that cheap Chinese textiles have led to the lost of at least 67 000 jobs the past 4 years. South African unions have lobbied the government who is busy negotiating a free trade deal with China to include clauses committing China to respect minimum labour, human rights and environmental standards. Most African countries, just like South Africa export the capital-intensive commodities or raw materials that China hungers for, and import labour-intensive manufactured goods from China. So, the rise in exports to China typically generates few jobs, while imports from China take away jobs. If this continues, argues South African President Thabo Mbeki the African continent could be "condemned to underdevelopment", and "recolonisation".
(http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/6178897.stm)

Africans should heed the warning.
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Money for almost nothing

A couple of days ago we speculated about a possible improvement in the Eastern Cape matric results. The question has been answered...
Why should we pay under-performers?
Why should we pay under-performers?
EASTERN Cape Education MEC Mkhangeli Matomela has ordered district managers to crack the whip on all principals whose matric results dropped this year despite the special support their schools got from the government. Matomela’s stern warning followed his announcement of a 59,3 percent matric pass rate in the Eastern Cape – an increase of 2,6 percent on last year. The Education Department spent more than R23 million on its Matric Intervention Programme (MIP) to assist 353 schools whose matric
results dipped to less than 50 percent last year. About 46 of these schools received extra attention through the MEC’s Intervention Programme, which saw mentors visiting the schools weekly and motivational speakers doing monthly rounds. Only six showed improvement in their overall pass rates.

Friday, December 29, 2006

The wages of sin

People are so gatvol about crime, they are gatvol with being gatvol!
Crime diminishing Mbeki's popularity
Rampant crime has been a contributor to a decline in President Thabo Mbeki's popularity. That's according to two research surveys, which showed a marked decline in his popularity standings since the local government elections earlier this year. The first poll showed that Mbeki had a 53 percent approval rating, 8 percent down on the figure recorded six months ago. Another public opinion survey showed Mbeki's popularity dropped from the 7.4 percent he had in May this year to just 6.9 percent last month.
The time for excuses is over
Crime is fast destroying the great SA dream and it need not be so. How can it be an act of patriotism to pretend that crime, and specifically violent crime, isn't a major threat to South Africa's social cohesion and stability? This bizarre notion is put forward by Jacob Zuma. The media are making crime look worse by over-reporting it, he told a German magazine. It is disloyal to the country - the media in other countries are far more responsible when they reflect criminality in their societies, he says.

Deny it and it will go away, appears to be Zuma's approach. For once the Minister of Safety and Security, Charles Nqakula, must be in agreement with his party's deputy leader. If we ignore it, the raped and the violated will feel better. If you really love South Africa and our democracy, you will pretend that we live in a gentle, peaceful paradise. There's a subtle subtext to this approach: it is mostly selfish, fatcat whites who are unhappy with black majority rule who complain about crime. What utter nonsense.

Thursday, December 28, 2006

All is OK (not)

No reason for the gloom
Education experts were predicting that the Eastern Cape’s matric class of 2006 is set for gloomy news today. They believe that, when the matric results are officially released this morning, they will show, at best, a small improvement on last year’s pass of 56,7 percent – or, at worst, the unthinkable, a decline. This comes on the back of a promise by the province after last year’s terrible results that this year would be different. A senior government insisted that despite the gloom in education circles there had been an improvement. Speaking on condition of anonymity, he said: “What is definite is that there is some improvement. We are steadily improving year-by-year, contrary to what people expect, despite the challenges that we face.” He refused to give the exact figure.
Teachers have mixed feelings about pass rate
The decline in the pass rate is cause for concern. We need a qualitative leap forward in terms of pass rates. We need more information and workable strategies to improve the quality of education on the ground. But we also need teachers, learners, parents and the department to come together and commit themselves to improving the quality of education. The increase in the number of matriculants in the last five years had not been matched by an increase in resources. The department must explain why results are uneven across the provinces with improvements in four provinces, the Eastern Cape, Gauteng, Mpumalanga and the North West and deterioration in the rest. Limpopo stands out with a decline of over nine percent in the pass rate. 139 schools produced a pass rate below 20 percent.
Education system fails kids
The South African education system and the economy are failing the pupils of the country, the Federation of Unions of SA (Fedusa) said following the release of the 2006 matric results. The education system does not yet prepare learners for the world of work, as the recent policy reforms are not established enough to deliver tangible results in practice. Fedusa was also concerned about the lagging standards in South African schools. This two-fold problem has been acknowledged by the Department of Education. On the one hand we find a syllabus that has arguably diminished over the past years, while on the other we find numerous problems relating to capacity. The Democratic Alliance say that the education system is failing to provide South Africa's youth with the skills needed to move into tertiary education institutions or enter the job market.
Urgent 2010 rescue plans needed
Pressure is mounting for comprehensive emergency rescue plans to be implemented in South Africa ahead of the 2010 World Cup. There is currently a serious shortage of trained specialists available to provide search and rescue operations in the event of an act of terrorism, a natural disaster or the collapse of a stadium grandstand. Ian Scher, founder of Rescue South Africa said that up to 500 more specialised rescue personnel were needed around the country ahead of the tournament. "We need to get moving. We don't have enough staff for 2010," Scher said. He called for a "buy in" from national government and an increase in funding.

Bad news in Africa




Africa always has its fair share of bad news, with poor leadership in Africa a strong territory for cartoonists across the continent.

Wednesday, December 27, 2006

Foreign affairs and other strange affairs

SADC Action Group on Zim mired in controversy
Controversy surrounds a SADC Ministerial Action Group (MAG) reportedly appointed by the regional body’s chair, Lesotho, to compile a report on the ‘Zimbabwe crisis’. Harare would not accommodate the body as it was commissioned outside the organisation’s Summit. SADC chair, Prime Minister Pakalitha Mosisili of Lesotho, after consultations with South African President Thabo Mbeki, commissioned a three-country group to report on the situation in Zimbabwe. However, it increasingly looks as if the MAG might never visit Zimbabwe, as there was no consensus among various SADC member States over how to proceed, adding that there was a "media blackout on what was now taking place behind the scenes". A rift is emerging in SADC over how to engage Zimbabwe, with some members like "Namibia, Mozambique and Tanzania emphasising non-interference while others were pushing for a tougher line" including the commissioning of an MAG.
We'll fight on
Maite Nkoana-Mashabane, the wife of sex-pest former diplomat Norman Mashabane, will stand by her man despite a High Court ruling that said he should have been fired on allegations of sexual harassment. Nkoana-Mashabane, the MEC in charge of local government and housing in Limpopo, said the family would challenge the department of foreign affairs through the labour court. "Elements in the media continue to pursue the unsubstantiated and disputed allegations that featured in internal proceeding in the department of foreign affairs more than three years ago, with an unexplained frenzy," she said.
Charges laid against police in McBride accident
Charges of crimen injuria and assault have been laid against metro police officers who arrived at the accident scene of Robert McBride, the Ekurhuleni metro police chief. McBride crashed after he lost control of his car in Centurion. The couple who arrived at the scene first alleges they were roughed up by the police. Charges were laid at the Randburg police station. Meanwhile, McBride is recovering at home with head and back injuries. Claims that he was drunk at the time of the accident sparked an outcry. Police are investigating charges of negligence and reckless driving against McBride.
Pressure growing for ousting of Doctor Beetroot
South Africa’s Health Minister Manto Tshabalala-Msimang has had a rough year. In a country where more than 5.5mn people are infected with the Aids virus, any politician charged with managing the pandemic has their task cut out. 2006 may have been the controversial politician’s last in her post. South Africans are tired of the saga surrounding her portfolio. The latest swipe at the Russian-trained doctor came in a newspaper advertisement paid for by Blue Ribbon, a bread and maize manufacturer, and poking fun at her apparent fondness for potatoes, beetroot, garlic and olive oil as Aids cures. "Tired of people constantly calling for your resignation?," read the advertisement in the Star newspaper which featured a sandwich stacked with the minister’s favourite vegetables and recommending Tshabalala-Msimang eat Blue Ribbon bread to cope with her demanding job.
ANCYL moves to prevent total collapse
The national ANC Youth League said it had ordered its Eastern Cape provincial leadership to disband. "The National Executive Committee of the ANC Youth League has resolved that in the interest of safeguarding the organisation from total collapse in the province an urgent intervention is necessary," said ANCYL President Fikile Mbalula. "The provincial leadership has become so weak and if no action was taken this could have resulted in the total collapse of the organisation in the province," he said. The NEC meeting was not impressed with the pace at which the Integrated Youth Development Strategy was being implemented. Mbalula placed the blame for lack of delivery on this crucial strategy squarely on the door of the Minister in the Office of the Presidency Essop Pahad. "This is due to intransigency and arrogance of the Minister in the Office of the Presidency," he said.

Monday, December 25, 2006

Why Many Whites Are Experiencing A New Great Depression

If PW Botha had died 10, even five years ago, there wouldn’t have been so many whites praising him as we have seen during the last 10 days. I think these eulogies to a man who did great harm to us all should be seen as part of the great wave of pessimism lately plaguing much of the white community and, to a lesser extent, also other minorities.

People who were once proud and enthusiastic New South Africans now curse the ANC government and privately make racist jokes. Most of those who have enough money or good enough education, talk about joining the more than a million whites already living overseas.

Progressive writers such as André P Brink, Rian Malan and Christopher Hope paint a bleak picture of our future in pieces published overseas, and are suddenly hailed as heroes by the very people who called these writers traitors during the apartheid days.

This new Great Depression is a phenomenon of the last six, nine months or so. It manifests itself in angry and reactionary letters to newspapers, calls to talk radio stations, conversations in pubs and around braai fires and exchanges on internet chat rooms. There are even early signs of a revival of a narrow, old-style Afrikaner nationalism.

Crime is the biggest complaint, and more and more South Africa’s excessive crime rate is understood in racial terms, even as a kind of conspiracy against whites. Yet crime is not worse now than a year or two ago; if anything, there has been a slight improvement.

Affirmative action is another big complaint, yet statistics show very few whites are unemployed and they still dominate most plum jobs outside the civil service. So what triggered the new wave of pessimism?

Perhaps the old fear many whites had of a black government during the apartheid years had not disappeared completely. Events in Zimbabwe, the Congo, Somalia, Sudan, Ivory Coast and Liberia have made sure that suspicions remained alive that Africa was not democracy-friendly. And then a series of events triggered a feeling among a group already feeling alienated and marginalised, that the skies are about to fall in on them.

The Zuma debacle has certainly contributed. Minorities felt that the vicious in-fighting in the ANC was a “black thing”, even a Xhosa/Zulu thing, that they could not understand or influence. Angry crowds threatening a witness and publicly disrespecting the president made them fearful, while Zuma’s own behaviour and statements and the wildly irresponsible utterances of the youth leagues of the ANC and the Communist Party gave them a sense of instability.

Anything that reminds whites of Africa’s “typical” weaknesses pushes a button. An example is the daily reports of corruption among politicians and civil servants and lucrative secret deals by senior ANC leaders. The ANC leadership’s behaviour when former whip Tony Yengeni went to jail (he was accompanied by, among others, the Speaker of Parliament, remember?) didn’t help.

Neither did the evidence and allegations that many ANC figures were beneficiaries of the murdered tycoon Brett Kebble.

The health minister’s continuing weird antics regarding HIV/Aids, and the fact that she is never censured by the president, are another example.

Other examples are exorbitant salaries of city managers, parastatal bosses and other officials and the gross inefficiency of the Department of Home Affairs and certain provincial and local governments.

The arrogant and unilateral fashion in which the changing of names and symbols is being pushed through is a serious source of discontent among whites. They remember that former president Nelson Mandela said at the time of his inauguration in 1994 that the domination of one group over another would never be allowed again in South Africa, and they feel the ANC has not remained true to that promise. They feel dominated.

The standard black response that whites should be thankful for the generous deal they got and that they still form the bulk of the upper middle class somehow doesn’t make much of an impression on them.

The Western Cape ANC’s attempt to grab power in the Cape Town City Council sent an alarming signal to whites that the ANC wasn’t a truly democratic organisation and wouldn’t accept defeat if it ever lost an election.

Whites are also nervous about the government’s new attempts at re-racialising South African society. (I had a taste of this last week when I was asked to fill in a form of appointment by a university demanding that I classify myself as “African/Coloured/Indian/White/ International Person (white)/International Person of colour”. Of course, I classified myself as African.)

Former Mpumalanga premier Mathews Phosa was quoted last week as saying a critical test of a democracy is how it is accommodating minorities. Of course he is right. The fact that minorities, especially whites, are materially still better off than most others is not enough of an argument. Many of their problems are ghost pains, but they experience them as real.

But the white minority should also stop knee-jerk reactions to events and examine their prejudices if they want to be happy citizens.
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